Thursday, September 02, 2004
I talked yesterday about what a disaster John Kerry's campaign has been up to now. With a beatable incumbent at hand, he and his staff have done everything imaginable to throw the 04 election away.
But hey, don't take my word for it. Check out a recent Zogby poll of undecided voters taken on Aug. 30.
The relevant points:
- A plurality choose Bush over Kerry: 35% to 10%. (On a happy note, the Libertarian Party candidate, Michael Badnarik, comes in third at 8%!)
Keep that plurality in mind with these other results:
- The vast majority disapprove of the job Bush has done in office: 77% to 23%
- A solid majority feel the US is going in the wrong direction: 56% to 19% (with 25% undecided)
- A majority feel it is time to elect someone new rather than give Bush a second term: 53% to 43% with 4% undecided
- Bush's most significant accomplishment was the response to Sept. 11 (46%) while his greatest failure has been the war in Iraq (47%)
Okay, so after all this, we see a huge disconnect. Although the undecideds are apparently down on Bush in every catagory, and seem to have logically divorced the war in Iraq from our 9/11 response in Afghanistan, they still choose Bush over Kerry by a 3.5-to-1 margin. Why? Maybe these questions have something to do with it...
- Do you or don’t you like George W. Bush as a person?: 67% to 15% in favor of liking him, with 18% undecided
- Do you or don’t you like John Kerry as a person?: 52% to 16% in favor of disliking him, with 32% undecided.
Yow. Basically, John Kerry is seen as unlikable. (Which is understandable. I lived in Boston for 10 years. No one really likes him there, either.) And, with a lot of voters, that is trumping the fact they know Bush has been an abject failure in office.
So who's fault is this? Cahill and Cutter, the two big names that are apparently on the chopping block. It astounds me that they have been utterly incapable of making headway against George Bush.
Two other notes: A whopping 87% of respondents said they are not satisfied with either candidate and wish for others. And on an ominous note, close to 50% of respondents said they would only be somewhat or not willing at all to support the winner of a razor-close election.