Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Kerry 291 Bush 247

That's where we stand, people. According to the good folks at Electoral-Vote.com, Kerry is widening his lead. The movers this time? Minnesota and Iowa moving into the Kerry column, Minnesota enough so to be a solid Kerry state. Kerry has also widened his lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania. And he holds Florida by the skin of his teeth, 50-49. Which bodes ill for post-election courtroom shenanigans.

In what must be disappointing for Bush, he holds North Carolina and Virginia by only three points, which lays within the margin of error. And in a shocker (to me), Kerry is within two point of Bush in Tennessee. Bush won there by four points over Gore in 2000 (the real reason Gore lost, BTW).

This points to a trend of undecided voters beginning to break for Kerry. Also, it may be showing the effect of voter registration drives across America, which at last count had hit over 8 million new voters. It could very well also point to some disaffected Republicans (or former Republicans), feeling comfortable enough with Kerry to throw their support to him.

Either way, the poll numbers are beginning to go against Bush. And with the bad news out of Iraq continuing and the economy standing still, there isn't anything he can latch onto to pull himself out of it.

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