Wednesday, November 03, 2004
I was hoping that my line yesterday about the courts would just be in jest, but it looks like we're on the road to more litigation.
Ohio is the new Florida, as somewhere between 140,000-250,000 absentee and provisional ballots have yet to be counted. And though it would take a miracle for those to break all in Kerry's favor (almost a necessity to make up the 130,000 vote gap he faces currently), it is possible. So we have to wait 11 days for these to be counted. Who made that law up? Now we just get to talk about other things that will make us paranoid.
- Florida's absentee ballots: Oh, you thought Florida was a done deal? Guess again. As many as 1.6 million absentee ballots have yet to be counted. And Bush's lead is only 340,000. A 65-35 split in Kerry's favor would give him Florida.
And that is very possible. Why? Well, Florida uses the electronic voting booths that provide no paper trail of the votes entered. After 2000, wouldn't a lot of Democrats be inspired to avoid these booths and use absentee ballots, which are a paper trail unto themselves?
So even though the networks have given Bush the state, that's not a mortal lock. Yet.
- The huge discrepancy in Ohio between polls and votes: Exit polling showed Kerry with a huge lead in Ohio. And yet that has vanished. Ohio, of course, uses the electronic voting system as well. You know, the one that doesn't generate a paper ballot to confirm votes or provide a paper trail for recounts.
And there's always this, courtesy of electoral-vote.com: "One thing that is very strange is how much the exit polls differed from the final results, especially in Ohio. Remember that Ohio uses Diebold voting machines in many areas. These machines have no paper trail. Early in the campaign, Diebold CEO Walden O'Dell, a GOP fundraiser, promised to deliver
Ohio to Bush. He later regretted having said that."
So who knows what will go on in Ohio over the next two weeks.
So it does look as if President Bush has somehow won another term. Which is baffling considering the utter lack of achievement he has to point to after his first term. But the Florida and Ohio situations bear watching. Sadly, we are again facing a post-election judicial solution.